The user base is driven by software. If I'm a consumer that is looking for a certain kind of product, and I can't find it one place, I'm going to buy it elsewhere. This has nothing to do with user base. I'd like to see 3rd party support the other console as flimsily as they've supported the Wii U, and see how well their games sell there and how many consoles THEY sell as a result. 1st party isn't what makes a successful console. The Wii was an anomaly out of necessity. All first party is supposed to be is a decider over which console to get, like in the difference between Xbox and Playstation. Third party is supposed to be what's the same and first party is supposed to be what's different. Nintendo has all of the different and none the same. Adding more of what's different won't attract anyone who doesn't want to miss out on what's supposed to be the same.
"Wait and see" not good business. If I go to McDonalds, I expect a burger and some fries and drinks and everything else. The burgers there are different from the competitors. That's the first party. Everything else is 3rd party. If one day I go to McDonalds and they're only selling burgers, I'm just going to go to Burger King. I may like McDonalds burgers the best, but I want fries and I want drinks and I want the choice to buy everything else with my burger. "Well we won't sell our potatoes or our Cola to Mcdonalds until their Big Macs alone bring more business." Then there's Ubisoft who's still providing the McFlurries. "We'll wait until Christmas and then decide."
...If I go to Nintendo, all I have available to buy is a Big Mac and a McFlurry. Until Christmas.
Does ANYONE else see how stupid that is!?