25 replies to this topic

[nintendofreak247]

Wii U

• Rayman Legends will most likely sell best on Wii U, and the Wii U version will be the preferred version in comparison to Xbox 360 and PS3. This will reinforce Ubisoft and Nintendo's relationship. (This one came true.)
• The Wonderful 101 will get good reviews, but it will only sell fairly well. It won't be a system seller, but people will regard it as one of the Wii U's best games.
• Sonic Lost World will be received as well as Sonic Colors was, and it will sell a good amount.
• The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker HD will sell decently, and get good scores.
• The Legend of Zelda for Wii U will be revealed at E3 2014.
• Watch_Dogs will sell better on PS3 and Xbox 360, but I expect the Wii U version's sales to be on par with the sales of the PS4 version. It will sell fairly well on Wii U.
• Super Mario 3D World won't be a system seller like New Super Mario Bros. U was, but it will obviously sell well, thanks to its release date during the holiday season. It will be just as well-received as the other recent Mario titles, but critics will view it as more of the same.
• Mario Kart 8 will be a system seller, and it will move a decent amount of Wii U units. The online interactions within Mario Kart 8 will be seen as a big step-forward for Nintendo games. DLC will be introduced over time.
• Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze will be received even better than Donkey Kong Country Returns was, and it will sell well.
• Wii Fit U won't sell as much as the original Wii Fit or Wii Fit Plus, but it will garner attention from the casual crowd, and get more of them interested in Wii U.
• X will be well-received by JRPG fans, and will sell rather well. It will be regarded as one of the Wii U's best games.
• Mario & Sonic at the Sochi 2014 Olympic Winter Games will probably have sales on par with Mario & Sonic at the London 2012 Olympic Games, if not less. It'll get decent scores.
• Super Smash Bros. for Wii U will be the big system seller for Wii U, which is no big surprise. It will move several units, and make Nintendo doomsayers keep quiet for a while. DLC will be introduced over time.
• Bayonetta 2 will sell pretty well. Review scores will be good, and it'll be praised by fans of the series. It won't sell extremely well though, and will be regarded as a cult hit.
• Wii Party U will do well with the casual crowd, but it'll mostly go under the radar for other gamers.
• If Nintendo knows what's good for them, a new Metroid title for Wii U will be announced or hinted at by E3 2014.

Wii U Virtual Console

• The introduction of the 'Onett Times' community on Miiverse is probably building up to Nintendo of America's eventual localization and release of Mother 3 on either the 3DS or Wii U eShop. 3DS eShop is more likely.
• Another possibility is that Nintendo will release the original Mother for NES as EarthBound Zero on the Wii U eShop.
• Nintendo 64 games will be available on the Wii U eShop by either Holiday 2013 or the first quarter of 2014.
• The first eShop GameCube title will be released for Wii U within the second half of 2014.
• This title will probably be one of the GameCube's launch titles, such as the original Pikmin or Luigi's Mansion.

Nintendo 3DS

• The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds will sell very well, and will be regarded as one of the best portable Zelda titles to date.
• A Link Between Worlds will more than likely be followed by The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask 3D. I predict a reveal at E3 2014, and a release during Holiday 2014.
• Pokemon X and Pokemon Y will do for the 3DS what Pokemon Diamond and Pokemon Pearl did for the original Nintendo DS. It will be a worldwide phenomenon, and sell 3DS units for a long time.
• Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS won't sell as much as the Wii U version of the game, but it will sell well, thanks to the amount of 3DS systems that will be sold by this point. DLC will be introduced over time.
• Mario Golf: World Tour will probably sell just as much as Mario Tennis Open did. It will more than likely go under the radar over time, but it will be received well-enough.
• Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney will be well-received by fans of Layton and Wright alike, and will encourage the future releases of more Japanese 3DS titles.
• Bravely Default: Flying Fairy will sell a decent amount, but not a whole lot. It will be well received.

Nintendo 3DS Virtual Console

• Game Boy Advance titles will be introduced by the end of the year, or early 2014.
• Pokemon Red and Pokemon Blue will be released at some point during 2014.
• There is a chance that Mother 3 will eventually be released on the 3DS Virtual Console.

Other Things

• Miiverse will be introduced on Nintendo 3DS by the end of the year. It will also have a dedicated smartphone app by early 2014.
• Gameplay video sharing on Miiverse will be introduced around the release date of PlayStation 4, or to be more simple, in Holiday 2014.
• At some point during 2014, Nintendo 3DS and Wii U eShop accounts will be linked.
• The eShop will be accessible on PC and smartphones by the end of 2014. A dedicated smartphone app will be introduced in time as well.

Any thoughts?

Edited by nintendofreak247, 10 September 2013 - 04:55 PM.

[nbond3040]

the only thing I really find wrong about this is smash bros selling more on WiiU than the 3ds besides that 100% agree with everything

[Nollog]

Wii U

• Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze will be received even better than Donkey Kong Country Returns was, and it will sell well.
• Wii Fit U won't sell as much as the original Wii Fit or Wii Fit Plus, but it will garner attention from the casual crowd, and get more of them interested in Wii U.
• Wii Party U will do well with the casual crowd, but it'll mostly go under the radar for other gamers.
• If Nintendo knows what's good for them, a new Metroid title for Wii U will be announced or hinted at by E3 2014.

DK won't sell well, it'll sell around 3 million at most.

Wii Fit U will completely bomb.

Wii Party U will absolutely without a doubt bomb a thousand times over, unless packaged with a second upad which it will not be.

The rest I mostly agree to.

[Hank Hill]

DK won't sell well, it'll sell around 3 million at most.

Wii Fit U will completely bomb.

Wii Party U will absolutely without a doubt bomb a thousand times over, unless packaged with a second upad which it will not be.

The rest I mostly agree to.

 

That moment when selling 3 million copies at around $60 a piece is not selling well

 

That's 180,000,000 million dollars for those who don't math

[Colinx]

NSMBU was obviously a system seller!!

[Nollog]

That moment when selling 3 million copies at around $60 a piece is not selling well
 
That's 180,000,000 million dollars for those who don't math

NSMB Wii sold almost 30 million.
DKCR sold 6 million.

Comparing similar games from the same company, you see how much pull Mario has, and how little pull Donkey Kong has.
The 3 million figure is over the course of the console's life by the way, and if the Wii U doesn't start selling before tropical freeze releases, I'd expect it to be lower than even that, since video games are very front-loaded. We can't expect a 100% attach rate for the game.

But you're right, Nintendo always has incredible sales figures, but they must be doomed because EA don't want to put out their yearly port, and their console is only selling as well as their competition with less games at the start of it's life.

Edited by Nollog, 16 August 2013 - 08:49 PM.

[CookieEpic]

This looks good to me.

[Abcdude]

Good predictions.

[Foot]

That moment when selling 3 million copies at around $60 a piece is not selling well
 
That's 180,000,000 million dollars for those who don't math

Really in terms of profit for Nintendo, take out 25% for the retailer cut, then account for another 17% for Returns, 6% for marketing and distribution, leaving Ninty with $93,600,000 still good

[Hank Hill]

NSMB Wii sold almost 30 million.
DKCR sold 6 million.

Comparing similar games from the same company, you see how much pull Mario has, and how little pull Donkey Kong has.
The 3 million figure is over the course of the console's life by the way, and if the Wii U doesn't start selling before tropical freeze releases, I'd expect it to be lower than even that, since video games are very front-loaded. We can't expect a 100% attach rate for the game.

But you're right, Nintendo always has incredible sales figures, but they must be doomed because EA don't want to put out their yearly port, and their console is only selling as well as their competition with less games at the start of it's life.

 

Oh, I know how it is compared to other games selling. It just doesn't sound bad to me.

 

I mean, if I made a game and it cost me a couple million bucks to make, and I sold three million copies at $60 a piece, even with gross profit, I'd be overjoyed.

 

Really in terms of profit for Nintendo, take out 25% for the retailer cut, then account for another 17% for Returns, 6% for marketing and distribution, leaving Ninty with $93,600,000 still good

[Mewbot]

Add in a LoZ for the Wii U announcement sometime between now and E3 2014.

And the 3DS Smash Bros. will sell more than the Wii U one, unless the Wii U has picked up A LOT by then.

 

 

 

Other than that, good predictions. I can definitely see the majority of them turning out to be right.

Edited by R00bot, 17 August 2013 - 05:11 AM.

[Ninty64X]

These are the most realistic Wii U predictions I've seen. Wouldn't be surprised if a lot came true.

[DéliopT]

Yeah, good predictions overall, but can`t see DKCR TP doing as well as the first game on Wii and don`t really see Wii Party U doing as well, either.

[thechamp80]

Wii U

• Rayman Legends will most likely sell best on Wii U, and the Wii U version will be the preferred version in comparison to Xbox 360 and PS3. This will reinforce Ubisoft and Nintendo's relationship.
• The Wonderful 101 will get good reviews, but it will only sell fairly well. It won't be a system seller, but people will regard it as one of the Wii U's best games.
• Sonic Lost World will be received as well as Sonic Colors was, and it will sell a good amount.
• The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker HD will sell decently, and get good scores.
• The Legend of Zelda for Wii U will be revealed at E3 2014.
• Watch_Dogs will sell better on PS3 and Xbox 360, but I expect the Wii U version's sales to be on par with the sales of the PS4 version. It will sell fairly well on Wii U.
• Super Mario 3D World won't be a system seller like New Super Mario Bros. U was, but it will obviously sell well, thanks to its release date during the holiday season. It will be just as well-received as the other recent Mario titles, but critics will view it as more of the same.
• Mario Kart 8 will be a system seller, and it will move a decent amount of Wii U units. The online interactions within Mario Kart 8 will be seen as a big step-forward for Nintendo games. DLC will be introduced over time.
• Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze will be received even better than Donkey Kong Country Returns was, and it will sell well.
• Wii Fit U won't sell as much as the original Wii Fit or Wii Fit Plus, but it will garner attention from the casual crowd, and get more of them interested in Wii U.
• X will be well-received by JRPG fans, and will sell rather well. It will be regarded as one of the Wii U's best games.
• Mario & Sonic at the Sochi 2014 Olympic Winter Games will probably have sales on par with Mario & Sonic at the London 2012 Olympic Games, if not less. It'll get decent scores.
• Super Smash Bros. for Wii U will be the big system seller for Wii U, which is no big surprise. It will move several units, and make Nintendo doomsayers keep quiet for a while. DLC will be introduced over time.
• Bayonetta 2 will sell pretty well. Review scores will be good, and it'll be praised by fans of the series. It won't sell extremely well though, and will be regarded as a cult hit.
• Wii Party U will do well with the casual crowd, but it'll mostly go under the radar for other gamers.
• If Nintendo knows what's good for them, a new Metroid title for Wii U will be announced or hinted at by E3 2014.

Wii U Virtual Console

• The introduction of the 'Onett Times' community on Miiverse is probably building up to Nintendo of America's eventual localization and release of Mother 3 on either the 3DS or Wii U eShop. 3DS eShop is more likely.
• Another possibility is that Nintendo will release the original Mother for NES as EarthBound Zero on the Wii U eShop.
• Nintendo 64 games will be available on the Wii U eShop by either Holiday 2013 or the first quarter of 2014.
• The first eShop GameCube title will be released for Wii U within the second half of 2014.
• This title will probably be one of the GameCube's launch titles, such as the original Pikmin or Luigi's Mansion.

Nintendo 3DS

• The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds will sell very well, and will be regarded as one of the best portable Zelda titles to date.
• A Link Between Worlds will more than likely be followed by The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask 3D. I predict a reveal at E3 2014, and a release during Holiday 2014.
• Pokemon X and Pokemon Y will do for the 3DS what Pokemon Diamond and Pokemon Pearl did for the original Nintendo DS. It will be a worldwide phenomenon, and sell 3DS units for a long time.
• Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS won't sell as much as the Wii U version of the game, but it will sell well, thanks to the amount of 3DS systems that will be sold by this point. DLC will be introduced over time.
• Mario Golf: World Tour will probably sell just as much as Mario Tennis Open did. It will more than likely go under the radar over time, but it will be received well-enough.
• Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney will be well-received by fans of Layton and Wright alike, and will encourage the future releases of more Japanese 3DS titles.
• Bravely Default: Flying Fairy will sell a decent amount, but not a whole lot. It will be well received.

Nintendo 3DS Virtual Console

• Game Boy Advance titles will be introduced by the end of the year, or early 2014.
• Pokemon Red and Pokemon Blue will be released at some point during 2014.
• There is a chance that Mother 3 will eventually be released on the 3DS Virtual Console.

Other Things

• Miiverse will be introduced on Nintendo 3DS by the end of the year. It will also have a dedicated smartphone app by early 2014.
• Gameplay video sharing on Miiverse will be introduced around the release date of PlayStation 4, or to be more simple, in Holiday 2014.
• At some point during 2014, Nintendo 3DS and Wii U eShop accounts will be linked.
• The eShop will be accessible on PC and smartphones by the end of 2014. A dedicated smartphone app will be introduced in time as well.

Any thoughts?

You lost me at Rayman Legends will be the best selling on the Wii U. So it's going to sell better on a console with a 3.5 million userbase instead of a combined userbase of the PS3 and the 360 of 150 million. It's not even going to be close. I would wager that the Vita version has a decent chance of outselling the Wii U version.

[nintendofreak247]

You lost me at Rayman Legends will be the best selling on the Wii U. So it's going to sell better on a console with a 3.5 million userbase instead of a combined userbase of the PS3 and the 360 of 150 million. It's not even going to be close. I would wager that the Vita version has a decent chance of outselling the Wii U version.

 

While I can agree that I maybe got a little ahead of myself in terms of sales, I still strongly believe that the best version of Rayman Legends will be the Wii U version. And that fact will help the Wii U version sell a decent amount.

[EvilMoogle]

I agree with most of the predictions, except for a few.

 

The Wonderful 101 isn't going to be one of the best games on the Wii U. It's a decent game, but it's not worth much praise. 

 

Rayman Legends definitely will not sell the most on the Wii U just because the PS3 and Xbox 360 have a bigger amount of established consoles out there.

 

I wouldn't be surprised if Wind Waker HD gets a few points knocked off for a lack of additional content and maybe doesn't sell as much as Nintendo hoped it would. But maybe I'm wrong, maybe a lot of people like buying old games for $60. 

Edited by EvilMoogle, 21 August 2013 - 07:15 PM.

[Jeremygts]

The people i know with PS3/60 are not raving over Rayman one bit... Just because a console has a larger install base doesnt mean a game will sell better. Sure theres more potential to sell more as more people have the console. BUT how many of those people owning PS3/60 look at Rayman as a "hardcore" game vs something a "kid" would play?

[Nollog]

http://www.joystiq.c...le-for-ubisoft/
Origins only sold around 5 million on everything to date, and it was making a profit in february.

 

It didn't break 1 million on any console they released it on.

[Hunter]

I don't see how Donkey Kong and 3D World combined won't be a system seller for Christmas.

[Aiddon]

I don't see how Donkey Kong and 3D World combined won't be a system seller for Christmas.

I dunno, because it doesn't help the narrative that Nintendo is doomed even though anyone who even keeps a cursory interest in financials as of late would know that Nintendo is by far the most financially stable of the three console manufacturers