48 replies to this topic

[ElderKnight77]

I have noticed an uptrend in sales for the Wii U this December.  I dare say it is much more in demand than what it was even during Black Friday week.  My local target here in Hayward CA is sold out and the Toys R Us have had very good demand (selling out of Wii U Skylander's bundle) for the system as well.  How much units will the Wii U do according to NPD and how much to you expect the Wii U to sell worldwide?  My prediction is that it will sell around ~400K units according to NPD (maybe even 500K if demand is sustainable) and end up with 800K-900K units worldwide.   Japan having sold 250K for the month and EU selling 150K-200K.  I know it sounds tooo optimistic but I see the Wii U ending with a userbase of 5.1M-5.3M by the first week of Jan2014.(seeing November Wii U selling 4.3M-4.5M LTD WW)

 

[Zinix]

480,000.  That's my estimate. Patcher will predict something embarrassing and everyone will laugh. 

[Azure-Edge]

1006

[Mewbot]

600,000.

It's optimistic, but with enough advertising it's possible.

[ElderKnight77]

Seeing that Japan's media crate has the Wii U selling ~124K units for the first 2 weeks of December and VGC has the Wii U at 66K units USA and 44K EU for the first week of the month this month; the Wii U is already nearly 50% of the 480K for your prediction.  I think at the lowest  R00bot number is possible but I am still seeing 800K worldwide. Anyone else?

[Poptartboy]

So it's actually selling well in Europe as well?

[Pjsprojects]

Should be doing better in the UK because it's really hard to find the other two in stock anywhere.
750k for me.

[GAMER1984]

yeah i say anywhere between 400-500k.

[Hunter]

1 million

[Mitch]

1.2 Million

 

all these guesses will be judged Price is Right style 

[Mewbot]

Also, christmas parents who are uninformed on gaming will go for the less expensive console, that is the Wii U.

[NintendoReport]

[Mewbot]

I don't quite understand how this is relevant. Explain pls?

[NintendoReport]

I don't quite understand how this is relevant. Explain pls?

 

Bidding under all current estimates posted. I hope I am wrong though for the sake of Wii U. 

 

[Mewbot]

Bidding under all current estimates posted. I hope I am wrong though for the sake of Wii U. 

 

Aha I get it now. Just a little confusing because of how different a game show is to a video game console's sales.

[Happy Monk]

By January the Wii U will have a user base of 5.2 million. That is my prediction.

[SailtheSeas]

920,000 units.

[Nintyfan86]

I'll take 320,000 NPD Bob. 

 

I am just being conservative. In SC, you cannot find one on shelves. However, they do not really stock them anymore anyway, so this does not mean anything. Amazon appears out of them too, or at least they did a few days ago. 

 

800,000 for the 3ds family. 

 

These are SWAGs with zero analytics applied. 

 

I do believe those walking in for a PS4 or XBone will get a PS360 over a Wii U if they are console free. Wii U will be for true gamers, families, and some peoplewho decide to get it because it is there over a PS4/XBone. 

[nbond3040]

7

[ElderKnight77]

The Wii U already sold ~250K units worldwide with 2 weeks of Japanese sales and 1 week of USA and EU. So unless Wii U has a disasterous next two weeks in Japan and fails miserably in USA and EU for next 3 weeks it's looking like this: Japan:250K units, USA: 250K-300K units, and EU 160K-200K it is almost certain to sell at minimum 650K.  I am still holding my prediction of 800K units worldwide with USA sales around 310K but possibly 400K.  In any case, I would still be closer than anything Patcher the "professional" analyst would predict!!!

Just went to Best Buy today and saw at least 4 people walking out with Wii U's in the hour I was there.  The Toys R Us here in Fremont, CA had 2 people pick-up the Mario Wii U bundle...the old Deluxe bundle along with the Zombie U bundle remain untouched (they really should clearance that thing to move it).  The Target in Hayward are still without Wii U's on the shelves but loads of X1 (WTF are they not brining the Wii U out coz that's F-up).  Anyone notice any sales pick up for their areas?

920,000 units.

 

Actually after seeing how well the Wii U is selling this December I might have to agree with you that 700-800K worldwide is a bit pessimistic.  Wii U is looking to hit 1 mil units worldwide by the end of Dec 2013!!!   Most probable scenario 500K Americas, 200K EU and 350-400K Japan!!!